【政府採購】#3 Government Procurement - An Analysis of Project Risk Management
3/5 PPP/PFI Projects - Optimism Bias & Planning Fallacy
Planning fallacy
Chapter One – The Planning Fallacy: Cognitive, Motivational, and Social Origins
Optimism bias
Self-serving bias
The Mythical Man-Month
Brooks's law
Anchoring or focalism is a cognitive bias
Hofstadter's law
Experiment #1: Surprise as a Cue to Probability
On the Study of Statistical Intuitions
4/5 PPP/PFI Projects - **Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
**Prospect Theory 展望理論
Additional Material for " Prospect Theory for risk and Ambiguity" by Peter P. Wakker (2010)
An experimental test of prospect theory for predicting choice under ambiguity
On the Evolutionary Origin of Prospect Theory Preferences
**Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
The predictive validity of prospect theory versus expected utility in health utility measurement
Risk and Ambiguity in Evaluating a New Venture: An Experimental Study
Beware of Black Swan - Taking Stock of the Description-Experience Gap in Decision Under Uncertainty
Foundations for Prospect Theory Through Probability Midpoint Consistency
ESCALATION OF COMMITMENT
file:///C:/Users/James/%E4%B8%
Using Prospect Theory to Analyze New Risks (Ambiguity) in a Large Representative Sample and to Explain Real Investment Decisions
file:///C:/Users/James/%E4%B8%
5.5 Complexity of the Projects
Strategies for Managing Complex Projects
http://tinyurl.com/jjybgtk
Guidebook: Project Management Strategies for Complex Projects
http://tinyurl.com/hjtpnw2
Managing Complex Projects That Are Too Large, Too Long And Too Costly
https://goo.gl/YAHz0G
Challenges of cost management in complex projects
http://eprints.brighton.ac.uk/13273/
Risk Management in Complex Projects
http://tinyurl.com/gtxdobm
Project Management for Complex Transportation Projects
http://tinyurl.com/hax6y98
Pricing Complex Projects – Challenges and Best Practices for Pricing Managers
http://goo.gl/4pxARl
Risk, uncertainty and discrete choice models
Does Ambiguity Diversification Pay?
Strategic Planning in Turbulent Environments: A Social Ecology Approach to Scenarios
RISK, UNCERTAINTY AND PROFIT
https://mises.org/books/risk_
The Theory of Uncertainty and Profit
http://jagger.me.berkeley.edu/
Risk and Uncertainty*
Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit
- The Place of Profit and Uncertainty in Economy Theory
Challenges of Cost Management in Complex Projects
file:///C:/Users/James/%E4%B8%
FACTORS AFFECTING THE BID/ NO BID DECISION MAKING PROCESS OF SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZE CONTRACTORS IN AUCKLAND
FACTORS AFFECTING CONTRACTORS’ BIDDING DECISION FOR CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS IN NIGERIA
The Effect of Construction Demand on Bidders’ Mark-up Decision
BID/ NO-BID DECISION MODELLING FOR CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
Rationality in bidding theory: a construction industry perspective
The Economics of Competitive Bidding : a Selective Survey
http://tinyurl.com/ja3remk
How reliable are estimates of infrastructure costs? : A comparative analysis
Risk and price in the bidding process of contractors
The effect of contract type and contract size on competitiveness in construction contract bidding
Economic impacts of large transport infrastructure projects
Green Book supplementary guidance: Optimism Bias
- Procedures for Dealing with Optimism Bias in Transport Planning
- The United Kingdom Private Finance Initiative: The Challenge of Allocating Risk
- The Orange Book Management of Risk - Principles and Concepts
https://www.gov.uk/government/
- Early Management of the Risks to Successful Delivery A framework for action, with tools and guidance
- Managing risks with delivery partners
- Risk Management assessment framework: a tool for departments
- PRINCIPLES OF MANAGING RISKS TO THE PUBLIC
- Managing risks to the public: appraisal guidance
- Think about your Risk : Setting and Communicating Your Risk Appetite
- Think about Your Risk : A Practioner's Guide
Think About Your Risk : Managing Your
Green Book supplementary guidance: Valuing Infrastructure Spend
- Valuing infrastructure spend:
- Guidance Early financial cost estimates of infrastructure programmes and projects and the treatment of uncertainty and risk
- Review of Large Public Procurement in the UK
Owners’ Roles and Responsibilities
Risk Identification and Analysis
The Owner's Role in Project Risk Management
10 GOLDEN RULES OF PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT
Who Is A Risk Owner?
Project Risk Management: Challenges and Good Practices in Active Project Ownershi
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CAPITAL PROJECT RISK SURVEY
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